What's It All About?A new analysis of independent exit polls conducted in L.A. County at the November 2008 election indicates significant likelihood that the official vote counts are incorrect. It is indeed possible that the California state constitution was amended to strip marriage rights of some of the state's people as a result of vote counts that were incorrect and possibly even fraudulent.
The polling was conducted by election integrity group
Protect California Ballots in conjunction with
Election Defense Alliance and
ElectionIntegrity.org. Analysis of the poll results performed by Richard Hayes Phillips, Ph.D., best known for his investigation of the 2004 presidential election in Ohio, was recently completed.
The exit poll methodology used, called an Election Verification Exit Poll (EVEP) is different from the typical exit poll. While the better-known polls conducted by such organizations as Edison-Mitofsky are used to predict election results for the entire area voting on a particular office or ballot question, EVEP is used exclusively to measure the accuracy of the vote counts in the specific locations where the polls are conducted. See the
FAQ page and the
study itself for more information about the EVEP methodology.
As the introduction to the study says,
"This report is meant as a warning." The exit poll results alone are not sufficient to prove fraud. The results are strong enough, however, to justify a meticulous investigation into whether or not the votes were counted properly in L.A. county and beyond.
We invite you to join us in calling for that investigation to begin immediately. See the right sidebar for actions you can take.
BackgroundCalifornia's votes are counted by electronic election systems prone to failure and vulnerable to manipulation by both insiders and hackers. No citizen oversight is possible with electronic
concealed vote counting.
In the 2008 election, when
Proposition 8 on the California ballot gave voters the opportunity to amend the constitution to strip the right to marriage equality from its people, election integrity advocates monitored the election in a variety of ways. One of the largest efforts was a new type of exit poll conducted in L.A. county by Protect California Ballots in conjunction with Election Defense Alliance.
The EVEP was conducted by trained pollsters in ten polling places representing 19 precincts in L.A. County.
Findings
The overall difference between the official results and the polling results for Proposition 8, was 7.75 %, far outside the poll's margin of error. Differences at individual poll sites climbed as high as 17.7%! For comparison, in the official count, Prop 8 won by 4.6%.
The study analyzes four possible reasons for this disparity:
- a basic flaw in the exit poll methodology;
- many voters lying on the questionnaire;
- a non-representative sample of voters responding; or
- the official results being erroneous or fraudulent
The study then painstakingly demonstrates why the first three possibilities are very unlikely to be the cause of the disparity, leaving only the final one.
It appears, therefore, that the official vote counts in the polled precincts are erroneous or fraudulent.Read the study here.